Study Offers First Systematic Estimates of Santorini Eruption Probabilities

Tuesday, 19 May 2026/Source: Cretan Magazine/1 min read

A new scientific study by researcher Gerasimos Papadopoulos has analyzed every recorded eruption of the Santorini volcano from 197 BC to 1950, offering the first systematic estimates of short-term eruption probabilities. Santorini, located roughly 120 kilometers north of Crete, sits on one of the most active volcanic systems in the Mediterranean. The study does not indicate an imminent eruption, but provides updated risk assessments based on historical patterns. For visitors traveling between Crete and Santorini by ferry or small aircraft, no disruptions are currently reported. Tourists planning day trips or island-hopping to Santorini should monitor updates from the Hellenic Survey of Geology and Mineral Exploration before travel. Crete itself has no active volcanoes and remains unaffected by Santorini's geological activity.